Nkhani - Kodi chiwongola dzanja cha Federal Reserve cha 25 chidula bwanji, miyezi isanu ndi inayi, chidzakhudza bwanji msika wazitsulo wapadziko lonse lapansi? |

Pa Seputembara 18, Federal Reserve idalengeza kuti chiwongola dzanja chake choyamba chikudulidwa kuyambira 2025. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) idaganiza zochepetsa chiwongola dzanja ndi mfundo 25, kutsitsa zomwe mukufuna kuti chiwongola dzanja chifike pakati pa 4% ndi 4.25%. Chisankhochi chinali chogwirizana ndi zoyembekeza za msika. Ichi chinali nthawi yoyamba yomwe Fed idachepetsa chiwongola dzanja m'miyezi isanu ndi inayi kuyambira Disembala chaka chatha. Pakati pa Seputembala ndi Disembala chaka chatha, a Fed adachepetsa chiwongola dzanja ndi mfundo zokwana 100 pamisonkhano itatu, ndipo kenako adakhala ndi mitengo yokhazikika pamisonkhano isanu yotsatizana.

Wapampando wa Federal Reserve Powell ananena pamsonkhano wa atolankhani kuti kuchepetsa mitengoyi kunali chisankho chowongolera zoopsa komanso kuti kusintha kwachangu kwa chiwongola dzanja kunali kosafunikira. Izi zikuwonetsa kuti Fed sidzalowa m'njira yochepetsera mitengo, kuziziritsa malingaliro amsika.

Ofufuza akuwonetsa kuti kuchepa kwa mitengo 25 ya Fed kumatha kuonedwa ngati "choletsa", kutanthauza kuti imatulutsa ndalama zambiri kuti zilimbikitse ntchito zachuma, kuthandizira msika wa ntchito, ndikuletsa kutsika kwachuma kwachuma cha US.

Msika ukuyembekeza kuti Federal Reserve ipitilize kuchepetsa chiwongola dzanja chaka chino.

Poyerekeza ndi mlingo wodzichepetsera wokha, zizindikiro za ndondomeko zotsatiridwa ndi msonkhano wa Federal Reserve wa September ndi zofunika kwambiri, ndipo msika ukuyang'anitsitsa kwambiri kuthamanga kwa tsogolo la Fed kuchepetsa.

Akatswiri amanena kuti zotsatira za tariffs pa inflation US adzakhala pachimake pa gawo lachinayi. Kuphatikiza apo, msika wantchito waku US ukhalabe wofooka, pomwe chiwopsezo cha kusowa kwa ntchito chikuyembekezeka kupitiliza kukwera mpaka 4.5%. Ngati malipiro a mwezi wa October omwe sanali alimi akupitiriza kutsika pansi pa 100,000, kudulidwa kwinanso mu December ndizotheka kwambiri. Chifukwa chake, a Fed akuyembekezeka kuchepetsa chiwongola dzanja ndi mfundo za 25 mu Okutobala ndi Disembala, kubweretsa zonse ku 75 maziko, katatu pachaka.

Masiku ano, msika waku China wam'tsogolo wazitsulo wapeza phindu lochulukirapo kuposa zotayika, pomwe mitengo yamsika imakwera kwambiri. Izi zikuphatikizaporebar, H-miyala, chitsulocoils, n'kupanga zitsulo, mapaipi zitsulo ndi mbale zitsulo.

Kutengera zomwe zili pamwambapa, Royal Steel Group imalangiza makasitomala:

1. Nthawi yomweyo tsekani mitengo yanthawi yochepa: Gwiritsani ntchito mwayi wazenera ngati mtengo wakusinthanawu sunawonetserenso kuchuluka kwa mtengo womwe ukuyembekezeredwa ndikusaina mapangano amitengo yokhazikika ndi ogulitsa. Kutsekera pamitengo yamakono kumapewa kukwera mtengo kwa zogula chifukwa cha kusinthasintha kwamitengo pambuyo pake.

2. Yang'anirani mayendedwe ochepetsa chiwongola dzanja:Chiwembu cha madontho a Fed chikusonyeza kuti chiwerengero china cha 50 chimadulidwa kumapeto kwa chaka cha 2025. Ngati deta ya ntchito ya US ikupitirirabe kuwonongeka, izi zikhoza kuyambitsa kutsika kosayembekezereka, kuonjezera kukakamizidwa kwa RMB kuti ayamikire. Makasitomala amalangizidwa kuti aziyang'anira mosamala chida cha CME Fed Watch ndikusintha mapulani ogulira mwachangu.